Our October Surprise


From the BBC

In the past, Republicans have tended to benefit from early voting.

“This is like a mirror image of what we’ve seen in the past,” says Paul Gronke of the Early Voting Information Center at Reed College. “This cannot be good news for John McCain”.

Overall, early voting is running about twice as high this year as in 2004 in many states.

In states that register voters by party, the party affiliation of early voters is known – though it is not certain that all registered Democrats will vote for their presidential candidate, and the data does not give information on how independent voters will cast their ballots.

Later they report that there’s some evidence that polls are tightening but since more people are voting early it makes it harder for McCain to close the gap. Also, however, is the fact that Colin Powel JUST came out for Obama and polls aren’t yet reflecting his leverage, if any, with voters.


No Responses Yet to “Our October Surprise”

  1. Leave a Comment

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: